Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 102191.539738 107660.518544 113121.784238 118980.961299 125085.369406 131254.141680 137955.415122
2025-08-03 92714.355261 101055.484902 109611.233533 119032.173290 129103.420574 139536.061115 151148.786727
2025-08-10 86142.562258 96463.354203 107276.268099 119427.047658 132677.805339 146666.763979 162528.410159
2025-08-17 80843.587035 92619.320123 105178.197861 119532.128288 135445.334034 152508.348176 172148.727353
2025-08-24 77327.356363 90361.145925 104477.113028 120846.751396 139250.770945 159245.757482 182553.673379
2025-08-31 73438.891469 87396.062647 102726.951066 120742.638561 141256.288151 163808.972510 190397.881900
2025-09-07 71081.661838 85984.829258 102562.612508 122274.290688 144972.514033 170188.222177 200212.823444
2025-09-14 68696.762125 84387.869780 102049.891500 123282.814469 147989.002144 175700.874283 208999.947635
2025-09-21 66051.562640 82347.511576 100899.660331 123437.755869 149923.547840 179903.153468 216237.837736
2025-09-28 63663.679759 80495.410021 99864.935071 123630.187593 151819.253203 183999.873450 223315.764963
2025-10-05 62444.717369 79969.316889 100333.721761 125543.675628 155697.299875 190383.997813 233065.199629
2025-10-12 61138.436041 79269.746511 100538.241217 127094.200173 159112.851072 196213.629522 242176.149297
2025-10-19 59525.239529 78154.592752 100216.920575 128004.008248 161778.057015 201199.435163 250369.625509
2025-10-26 57616.510330 76607.683075 99314.179790 128160.614294 163503.589247 205054.836394 257229.608438
2025-11-02 55972.145291 75328.872236 98685.384444 128603.556777 165539.715658 209262.308664 264512.399214
2025-11-09 54267.784715 73913.192097 97832.568080 128720.586450 167138.570662 212919.285782 271126.809669
2025-11-16 53279.760963 73369.509281 98032.952090 130118.245786 170296.577270 218465.709926 280051.989956
2025-11-23 51640.713150 71934.365032 97063.932477 130007.948584 171552.124142 221671.198011 286119.332468
2025-11-30 50886.916211 71617.795785 97487.445221 131634.772425 174965.577008 227530.331442 295466.849743
2025-12-07 49925.268088 70994.823974 97491.107836 132705.811724 177669.395258 232515.893893 303758.560807
2025-12-14 48613.129792 69868.258389 96810.830454 132870.350127 179205.216452 236041.750173 310246.932590
2025-12-21 47379.943121 68809.563381 96184.920033 133074.694253 180769.151008 239591.825095 316769.904793
2025-12-28 46974.713821 68845.817892 96974.992481 135106.438887 184670.323596 246086.462624 327011.387784